Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000587 0.000675 0.000769 0.000876 0.000995 0.001121 0.001266
2025-04-20 0.000465 0.000588 0.000730 0.000902 0.001104 0.001332 0.001608
2025-04-27 0.000396 0.000535 0.000702 0.000913 0.001172 0.001474 0.001851
2025-05-04 0.000333 0.000479 0.000662 0.000903 0.001207 0.001575 0.002045
2025-05-11 0.000282 0.000430 0.000622 0.000885 0.001227 0.001651 0.002206
2025-05-18 0.000252 0.000404 0.000609 0.000897 0.001283 0.001770 0.002422
2025-05-25 0.000223 0.000377 0.000591 0.000900 0.001323 0.001869 0.002612
2025-06-01 0.000190 0.000338 0.000552 0.000871 0.001319 0.001909 0.002725
2025-06-08 0.000162 0.000304 0.000518 0.000845 0.001315 0.001945 0.002833
2025-06-15 0.000144 0.000284 0.000501 0.000842 0.001342 0.002024 0.002997
2025-06-22 0.000129 0.000267 0.000487 0.000840 0.001369 0.002102 0.003162
2025-06-29 0.000114 0.000247 0.000467 0.000830 0.001382 0.002160 0.003299
2025-07-06 0.000099 0.000226 0.000444 0.000813 0.001386 0.002205 0.003422
2025-07-13 0.000092 0.000220 0.000445 0.000832 0.001444 0.002330 0.003658
2025-07-20 0.000085 0.000212 0.000441 0.000845 0.001492 0.002440 0.003875
2025-07-27 0.000075 0.000197 0.000424 0.000835 0.001504 0.002498 0.004019
2025-08-03 0.000065 0.000181 0.000405 0.000818 0.001504 0.002537 0.004136
2025-08-10 0.000060 0.000175 0.000402 0.000829 0.001549 0.002644 0.004353
2025-08-17 0.000054 0.000166 0.000394 0.000831 0.001579 0.002729 0.004539
2025-08-24 0.000046 0.000150 0.000371 0.000805 0.001560 0.002738 0.004612
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000136 0.000350 0.000780 0.001543 0.002749 0.004687
2025-09-07 0.000035 0.000129 0.000341 0.000777 0.001563 0.002817 0.004850
2025-09-14 0.000031 0.000122 0.000333 0.000776 0.001584 0.002887 0.005016